Wahlen Prognose Sitzverteilung Kantone

Wahlen 2023

NB: Projektion
Listenverbindungen der anderen Parteien (35) nicht berücksichtigt.

Legende:
lv Listenverbindung
sitze_lv_0
Bruchmandate Listenverbindung
sitze_lv_1 Zuteilung Listenverbindung
lv_0 Bruchmandate Listenverbindung nach Listen
sitze_lv Definitive Zuteilung Listenverbindung nach Listen
sitze_0 Bruchmandate Partei
sitze_1 Zuteilung Partei
sitze_alt Sitze bisher

Szenario 1

kanton partei sitze_1 delta lv sitze_lv_0 sitze_lv_1 sitze_0 sitze_def
ZH SVP 10 A 14.331 15 10.307 10
ZH FDP 5 A 14.331 15 4.693 5
ZH SP 8 1 B 11.646 12 7.842 8
ZH GPS 4 -1 B 11.646 12 3.684 4
ZH FGA 0 B 11.646 12 0.360 0
ZH PdA/Sol. 0 B 11.646 12 0.113 0
ZH GLP 4 -2 C 4.452 4 4.000 4
ZH Mitte 3 2 2 2.933 3 3.000
ZH Andere 1 1 35 1.045 1 1.000 0
ZH EVP 1 D 1.022 1 1.000 1
ZH SD 0 E 0.571 0 0.000 0
ZH EDU 0 E 0.571 0 0.000 1
BE SVP 8 1 A 9.207 10 8.045 8
BE FDP 2 A 9.207 10 1.955 1
BE SP 5 1 B 7.545 8 5.263 5
BE GPS 3 -1 B 7.545 8 2.737 3
BE GLP 2 -1 C 3.538 3 2.135 3
BE EVP 1 C 3.538 3 0.865 1
BE Mitte 2 2 1.953 2 2.000
BE EDU 1 D 1.025 1 0.921 1
BE SD 0 D 1.025 1 0.079 0
BE Andere 0 35 0.732 0 0.000 0
BE PdA/Sol. 0 9 0.000 0 0.000
LU SP 2 1 B 2.547 3 1.447 2
LU GPS 1 B 2.547 3 0.860 1
LU GLP 0 -1 B 2.547 3 0.693 0
LU Mitte 3 2 2.511 3 3.000
LU SVP 2 A 2.320 2 2.000 2
LU FDP 1 C 1.388 1 1.000 1
LU Andere 0 35 0.184 0 0.000 0
LU EVP 0 D 0.042 0 0.000 0
LU SD 0 14 0.007 0 0.000 0
UR Mitte 1 2 0.624 1 1.000
UR SVP 0 4 0.353 0 0.000 0
UR Andere 0 35 0.023 0 0.000 0
UR SP 0 3 0.000 0 0.000
SZ SVP 2 A 1.434 2 2.000 2
SZ FDP 1 D 0.786 1 1.000 1
SZ Mitte 1 2 0.703 1 1.000
SZ GPS 0 B 0.546 0 0.000 0
SZ SP 0 B 0.546 0 0.000 0
SZ Andere 0 35 0.381 0 0.000 0
SZ EVP 0 C 0.150 0 0.000 0
SZ GLP 0 C 0.150 0 0.000 0
OW SVP 1 4 0.523 1 1.000 1
OW FDP 0 1 0.477 0 0.000 0
OW Mitte 0 2 0.000 0 0.000
OW SP 0 3 0.000 0 0.000
OW Andere 0 35 0.000 0 0.000
NW Mitte 1 1 2 0.453 1 1.000
NW SVP 0 -1 4 0.399 0 0.000 0
NW FDP 0 1 0.148 0 0.000 0
GL SVP 1 1 4 0.426 1 1.000 1
GL Mitte 0 -1 2 0.312 0 0.000
GL SP 0 3 0.234 0 0.000 0
GL Andere 0 35 0.028 0 0.000 0
GL GPS 0 13 0.000 0 0.000
ZG SVP 1 C 1.296 1 0.700 1
ZG FDP 0 C 1.296 1 0.300 0
ZG Mitte 1 2 0.748 1 1.000
ZG GPS 1 A 0.657 1 0.741 1
ZG SP 0 A 0.657 1 0.235 0
ZG EVP 0 A 0.657 1 0.024 0
ZG GLP 0 B 0.186 0 0.000 0
ZG Andere 0 35 0.113 0 0.000 0
FR SP 2 D 2.443 3 1.769 1
FR GPS 1 D 2.443 3 1.017 1
FR CSP 0 D 2.443 3 0.213 0
FR SVP 2 1 A 1.884 2 1.917 2
FR EDU 0 A 1.884 2 0.083 0
FR Mitte 1 -1 2 1.392 1 1.000
FR FDP 1 B 0.931 1 1.000 1
FR EVP 0 C 0.310 0 0.000 0
FR GLP 0 C 0.310 0 0.000 0
FR Andere 0 35 0.041 0 0.000 0
SO SVP 2 B 1.723 2 2.000 2
SO SP 1 D 1.589 2 1.302 1
SO GPS 1 D 1.589 2 0.698 1
SO Mitte 1 2 1.071 1 1.000
SO FDP 1 A 1.044 1 1.000 1
SO EVP 0 C 0.450 0 0.000 0
SO GLP 0 C 0.450 0 0.000 0
SO Andere 0 35 0.122 0 0.000 0
SO SD 0 14 0.000 0 0.000
BS SP 2 B 1.957 3 1.950 1
BS GPS 1 B 1.957 3 1.050 1
BS LPS 1 A 1.143 1 0.362 1
BS GLP 0 -1 A 1.143 1 0.320 1
BS FDP 0 A 1.143 1 0.242 0
BS EVP 0 A 1.143 1 0.077 0
BS SVP 0 C 0.563 0 0.000 0
BS EDU 0 C 0.563 0 0.000 0
BS Mitte 0 2 0.234 0 0.000
BS Andere 0 35 0.103 0 0.000 0
BL SVP 3 1 A 3.019 4 2.680 2
BL FDP 1 A 3.019 4 1.320 1
BL SP 2 B 2.429 3 2.135 2
BL GPS 1 B 2.429 3 0.865 1
BL Mitte 0 -1 2 0.741 0 0.000
BL EVP 0 C 0.666 0 0.000 0
BL GLP 0 C 0.666 0 0.000 0
BL Andere 0 35 0.108 0 0.000 0
BL EDU 0 D 0.036 0 0.000 0
SH SVP 1 A 1.060 1 0.737 1
SH FDP 0 A 1.060 1 0.230 0
SH EDU 0 A 1.060 1 0.032 0
SH SP 1 B 0.644 1 0.851 1
SH GPS 0 B 0.644 1 0.149 0
SH EVP 0 C 0.185 0 0.000 0
SH GLP 0 C 0.185 0 0.000 0
SH Andere 0 35 0.059 0 0.000 0
SH Mitte 0 2 0.052 0 0.000
SH FGA 0 12 0.000 0 0.000
AR SVP 1 4 0.477 1 1.000 1
AR FDP 0 1 0.357 0 0.000 0
AR Mitte 0 2 0.159 0 0.000
AR Andere 0 35 0.007 0 0.000 0
AI Mitte 1 2 0.867 1 1.000
AI Andere 0 35 0.109 0 0.000 0
AI SVP 0 4 0.024 0 0.000 0
AI SP 0 3 0.000 0 0.000
SG SVP 5 1 A 4.276 5 4.839 5
SG EDU 0 A 4.276 5 0.161 0
SG SP 2 C 3.268 3 1.402 2
SG GPS 1 C 3.268 3 0.954 1
SG GLP 0 -1 C 3.268 3 0.644 0
SG Mitte 2 2 2.260 2 2.000
SG FDP 2 D 1.734 2 2.000 2
SG Andere 0 35 0.270 0 0.000 0
SG EVP 0 B 0.173 0 0.000 0
SG SD 0 E 0.019 0 0.000 0
GR SVP 2 1 B 1.588 2 1.926 2
GR EDU 0 B 1.588 2 0.074 0
GR SP 2 C 1.463 2 1.214 1
GR GLP 0 C 1.463 2 0.427 0
GR GPS 0 C 1.463 2 0.358 0
GR Mitte 1 2 1.193 1 1.000
GR FDP 0 -1 A 0.687 0 0.000 1
GR EVP 0 7 0.051 0 0.000 0
GR Andere 0 35 0.017 0 0.000 0
AG SVP 7 1 A 7.926 9 6.448 7
AG FDP 2 A 7.926 9 2.372 2
AG EDU 0 A 7.926 9 0.180 0
AG SP 3 B 5.126 5 2.563 3
AG GLP 1 B 5.126 5 1.326 1
AG GPS 1 B 5.126 5 1.111 1
AG Mitte 2 2 1.920 2 2.000
AG EVP 0 -1 C 0.554 0 0.000 0
AG Andere 0 35 0.457 0 0.000 0
AG PdA/Sol. 0 9 0.018 0 0.000 0
TG SVP 3 D 2.418 3 3.000 3
TG SP 1 C 1.525 1 0.403 1
TG GPS 0 -1 C 1.525 1 0.335 0
TG GLP 0 C 1.525 1 0.262 0
TG Mitte 1 2 0.920 1 1.000
TG FDP 1 1 B 0.792 1 0.814 1
TG EVP 0 B 0.792 1 0.186 0
TG Andere 0 35 0.177 0 0.000 0
TG EDU 0 A 0.168 0 0.000 0
TI SVP 1 B 2.284 2 1.055 2
TI Lega 1 B 2.284 2 0.945 1
TI SP 1 A 1.726 2 1.158 1
TI GPS 1 A 1.726 2 0.842 1
TI FDP 2 D 1.692 2 2.000 2
TI Mitte 1 -1 2 1.414 1 1.000
TI Andere 1 1 35 0.763 1 1.000 0
TI GLP 0 C 0.121 0 0.000 0
TI PdA/Sol. 0 9 0.000 0 0.000
TI EDU 0 16 0.000 0 0.000
VD SP 5 B 8.195 9 5.274 6
VD GPS 3 -1 B 8.195 9 2.820 3
VD PdA/Sol. 1 1 B 8.195 9 0.906 0
VD FDP 5 C 7.890 9 4.847 4
VD SVP 4 1 C 7.890 9 4.153 4
VD GLP 1 -1 D 1.432 1 1.000 1
VD Mitte 0 2 0.847 0 0.000
VD Andere 0 35 0.379 0 0.000 0
VD EVP 0 A 0.140 0 0.000 0
VD EDU 0 16 0.117 0 0.000 0
VD SD 0 14 0.000 0 0.000
VS Mitte 3 2 2.831 3 3.000
VS SVP 2 C 1.958 2 2.000 2
VS SP 1 B 1.876 2 1.220 1
VS GPS 1 B 1.876 2 0.717 1
VS PdA/Sol. 0 B 1.876 2 0.063 0
VS FDP 1 D 1.173 1 1.000 1
VS GLP 0 E 0.163 0 0.000 0
VS CSP 0 8 0.000 0 0.000
VS Andere 0 35 0.000 0 0.000
NE SP 1 B 2.027 2 0.888 1
NE GPS 1 B 2.027 2 0.651 1
NE PdA/Sol. 0 -1 B 2.027 2 0.461 0
NE FDP 1 A 0.838 1 1.000 1
NE SVP 1 1 C 0.718 1 0.963 1
NE EDU 0 C 0.718 1 0.037 0
NE GLP 0 D 0.313 0 0.000 0
NE EVP 0 D 0.313 0 0.000 0
NE Mitte 0 2 0.103 0 0.000
NE Andere 0 35 0.000 0 0.000
GE FDP 2 A 5.188 6 2.174 2
GE SVP 2 A 5.188 6 2.119 2
GE MCR 2 2 A 5.188 6 1.707 2
GE SP 3 1 D 4.350 5 2.532 3
GE GPS 2 -1 D 4.350 5 2.120 2
GE PdA/Sol. 0 -1 D 4.350 5 0.349 0
GE Mitte 1 2 0.979 1 1.000
GE GLP 0 -1 B 0.809 0 0.000 0
GE Andere 0 35 0.626 0 0.000 0
GE EVP 0 C 0.048 0 0.000 0
GE EDU 0 16 0.000 0 0.000
JU SP 1 A 0.814 1 0.728 1
JU GPS 0 A 0.814 1 0.272 0
JU SVP 1 1 C 0.555 1 0.688 1
JU FDP 0 C 0.555 1 0.312 0
JU Mitte 0 -1 2 0.529 0 0.000
JU GLP 0 D 0.048 0 0.000 0
JU Andere 0 35 0.035 0 0.000 0
JU EVP 0 B 0.018 0 0.000 0
JU CSP 0 8 0.000 0 0.000


kanton sitze_1_sum
ZH 36
BE 24
LU 9
UR 1
SZ 4
OW 1
NW 1
GL 1
ZG 3
FR 7
SO 6
BS 4
BL 7
SH 2
AR 1
AI 1
SG 12
GR 5
AG 16
TG 6
TI 8
VD 19
VS 8
NE 4
GE 12
JU 2
sitze_1_sum_sum
200

Szenario 2 min (Tendenz - 2 * STDDEV)

kanton partei sitze_1 delta lv sitze_lv_0 sitze_lv_1 sitze_0
ZH SVP 10 A 14.331 15 10.307
ZH FDP 5 A 14.331 15 4.693
ZH SP 8 1 B 11.646 12 7.842
ZH GPS 4 -1 B 11.646 12 3.684
ZH FGA 0 B 11.646 12 0.360
ZH PdA/Sol. 0 B 11.646 12 0.113
ZH GLP 4 -2 C 4.452 4 4.000
ZH Mitte 3 2 2 2.933 3 3.000
ZH Andere 1 1 35 1.045 1 1.000
ZH EVP 1 D 1.022 1 1.000
ZH SD 0 E 0.571 0 0.000
ZH EDU 0 E 0.571 0 0.000
BE SVP 8 1 A 9.207 10 8.045
BE FDP 2 A 9.207 10 1.955
BE SP 5 1 B 7.545 8 5.263
BE GPS 3 -1 B 7.545 8 2.737
BE GLP 2 -1 C 3.538 3 2.135
BE EVP 1 C 3.538 3 0.865
BE Mitte 2 2 1.953 2 2.000
BE EDU 1 D 1.025 1 0.921
BE SD 0 D 1.025 1 0.079
BE Andere 0 35 0.732 0 0.000
BE PdA/Sol. 0 9 0.000 0 0.000
LU SP 2 1 B 2.547 3 1.447
LU GPS 1 B 2.547 3 0.860
LU GLP 0 -1 B 2.547 3 0.693
LU Mitte 3 2 2.511 3 3.000
LU SVP 2 A 2.320 2 2.000
LU FDP 1 C 1.388 1 1.000
LU Andere 0 35 0.184 0 0.000
LU EVP 0 D 0.042 0 0.000
LU SD 0 14 0.007 0 0.000
UR Mitte 1 2 0.624 1 1.000
UR SVP 0 4 0.353 0 0.000
UR Andere 0 35 0.023 0 0.000
UR SP 0 3 0.000 0 0.000
SZ SVP 2 A 1.434 2 2.000
SZ FDP 1 D 0.786 1 1.000
SZ Mitte 1 2 0.703 1 1.000
SZ GPS 0 B 0.546 0 0.000
SZ SP 0 B 0.546 0 0.000
SZ Andere 0 35 0.381 0 0.000
SZ EVP 0 C 0.150 0 0.000
SZ GLP 0 C 0.150 0 0.000
OW SVP 1 4 0.523 1 1.000
OW FDP 0 1 0.477 0 0.000
OW Mitte 0 2 0.000 0 0.000
OW SP 0 3 0.000 0 0.000
OW Andere 0 35 0.000 0 0.000
NW Mitte 1 1 2 0.453 1 1.000
NW SVP 0 -1 4 0.399 0 0.000
NW FDP 0 1 0.148 0 0.000
GL SVP 1 1 4 0.426 1 1.000
GL Mitte 0 -1 2 0.312 0 0.000
GL SP 0 3 0.234 0 0.000
GL Andere 0 35 0.028 0 0.000
GL GPS 0 13 0.000 0 0.000
ZG SVP 1 C 1.296 1 0.700
ZG FDP 0 C 1.296 1 0.300
ZG Mitte 1 2 0.748 1 1.000
ZG GPS 1 A 0.657 1 0.741
ZG SP 0 A 0.657 1 0.235
ZG EVP 0 A 0.657 1 0.024
ZG GLP 0 B 0.186 0 0.000
ZG Andere 0 35 0.113 0 0.000
FR SP 2 D 2.443 3 1.769
FR GPS 1 D 2.443 3 1.017
FR CSP 0 D 2.443 3 0.213
FR SVP 2 1 A 1.884 2 1.917
FR EDU 0 A 1.884 2 0.083
FR Mitte 1 -1 2 1.392 1 1.000
FR FDP 1 B 0.931 1 1.000
FR EVP 0 C 0.310 0 0.000
FR GLP 0 C 0.310 0 0.000
FR Andere 0 35 0.041 0 0.000
SO SVP 2 B 1.723 2 2.000
SO SP 1 D 1.589 2 1.302
SO GPS 1 D 1.589 2 0.698
SO Mitte 1 2 1.071 1 1.000
SO FDP 1 A 1.044 1 1.000
SO EVP 0 C 0.450 0 0.000
SO GLP 0 C 0.450 0 0.000
SO Andere 0 35 0.122 0 0.000
SO SD 0 14 0.000 0 0.000
BS SP 2 B 1.957 3 1.950
BS GPS 1 B 1.957 3 1.050
BS LPS 1 A 1.143 1 0.362
BS GLP 0 -1 A 1.143 1 0.320
BS FDP 0 A 1.143 1 0.242
BS EVP 0 A 1.143 1 0.077
BS SVP 0 C 0.563 0 0.000
BS EDU 0 C 0.563 0 0.000
BS Mitte 0 2 0.234 0 0.000
BS Andere 0 35 0.103 0 0.000
BL SVP 3 1 A 3.019 4 2.680
BL FDP 1 A 3.019 4 1.320
BL SP 2 B 2.429 3 2.135
BL GPS 1 B 2.429 3 0.865
BL Mitte 0 -1 2 0.741 0 0.000
BL EVP 0 C 0.666 0 0.000
BL GLP 0 C 0.666 0 0.000
BL Andere 0 35 0.108 0 0.000
BL EDU 0 D 0.036 0 0.000
SH SVP 1 A 1.060 1 0.737
SH FDP 0 A 1.060 1 0.230
SH EDU 0 A 1.060 1 0.032
SH SP 1 B 0.644 1 0.851
SH GPS 0 B 0.644 1 0.149
SH EVP 0 C 0.185 0 0.000
SH GLP 0 C 0.185 0 0.000
SH Andere 0 35 0.059 0 0.000
SH Mitte 0 2 0.052 0 0.000
SH FGA 0 12 0.000 0 0.000
AR SVP 1 4 0.477 1 1.000
AR FDP 0 1 0.357 0 0.000
AR Mitte 0 2 0.159 0 0.000
AR Andere 0 35 0.007 0 0.000
AI Mitte 1 2 0.867 1 1.000
AI Andere 0 35 0.109 0 0.000
AI SVP 0 4 0.024 0 0.000
AI SP 0 3 0.000 0 0.000
SG SVP 5 1 A 4.276 5 4.839
SG EDU 0 A 4.276 5 0.161
SG SP 2 C 3.268 3 1.402
SG GPS 1 C 3.268 3 0.954
SG GLP 0 -1 C 3.268 3 0.644
SG Mitte 2 2 2.260 2 2.000
SG FDP 2 D 1.734 2 2.000
SG Andere 0 35 0.270 0 0.000
SG EVP 0 B 0.173 0 0.000
SG SD 0 E 0.019 0 0.000
GR SVP 2 1 B 1.588 2 1.926
GR EDU 0 B 1.588 2 0.074
GR SP 2 C 1.463 2 1.214
GR GLP 0 C 1.463 2 0.427
GR GPS 0 C 1.463 2 0.358
GR Mitte 1 2 1.193 1 1.000
GR FDP 0 -1 A 0.687 0 0.000
GR EVP 0 7 0.051 0 0.000
GR Andere 0 35 0.017 0 0.000
AG SVP 7 1 A 7.926 9 6.448
AG FDP 2 A 7.926 9 2.372
AG EDU 0 A 7.926 9 0.180
AG SP 3 B 5.126 5 2.563
AG GLP 1 B 5.126 5 1.326
AG GPS 1 B 5.126 5 1.111
AG Mitte 2 2 1.920 2 2.000
AG EVP 0 -1 C 0.554 0 0.000
AG Andere 0 35 0.457 0 0.000
AG PdA/Sol. 0 9 0.018 0 0.000
TG SVP 3 D 2.418 3 3.000
TG SP 1 C 1.525 1 0.403
TG GPS 0 -1 C 1.525 1 0.335
TG GLP 0 C 1.525 1 0.262
TG Mitte 1 2 0.920 1 1.000
TG FDP 1 1 B 0.792 1 0.814
TG EVP 0 B 0.792 1 0.186
TG Andere 0 35 0.177 0 0.000
TG EDU 0 A 0.168 0 0.000
TI SVP 1 B 2.284 2 1.055
TI Lega 1 B 2.284 2 0.945
TI SP 1 A 1.726 2 1.158
TI GPS 1 A 1.726 2 0.842
TI FDP 2 D 1.692 2 2.000
TI Mitte 1 -1 2 1.414 1 1.000
TI Andere 1 1 35 0.763 1 1.000
TI GLP 0 C 0.121 0 0.000
TI PdA/Sol. 0 9 0.000 0 0.000
TI EDU 0 16 0.000 0 0.000
VD SP 5 B 8.195 9 5.274
VD GPS 3 -1 B 8.195 9 2.820
VD PdA/Sol. 1 1 B 8.195 9 0.906
VD FDP 5 C 7.890 9 4.847
VD SVP 4 1 C 7.890 9 4.153
VD GLP 1 -1 D 1.432 1 1.000
VD Mitte 0 2 0.847 0 0.000
VD Andere 0 35 0.379 0 0.000
VD EVP 0 A 0.140 0 0.000
VD EDU 0 16 0.117 0 0.000
VD SD 0 14 0.000 0 0.000
VS Mitte 3 2 2.831 3 3.000
VS SVP 2 C 1.958 2 2.000
VS SP 1 B 1.876 2 1.220
VS GPS 1 B 1.876 2 0.717
VS PdA/Sol. 0 B 1.876 2 0.063
VS FDP 1 D 1.173 1 1.000
VS GLP 0 E 0.163 0 0.000
VS CSP 0 8 0.000 0 0.000
VS Andere 0 35 0.000 0 0.000
NE SP 1 B 2.027 2 0.888
NE GPS 1 B 2.027 2 0.651
NE PdA/Sol. 0 -1 B 2.027 2 0.461
NE FDP 1 A 0.838 1 1.000
NE SVP 1 1 C 0.718 1 0.963
NE EDU 0 C 0.718 1 0.037
NE GLP 0 D 0.313 0 0.000
NE EVP 0 D 0.313 0 0.000
NE Mitte 0 2 0.103 0 0.000
NE Andere 0 35 0.000 0 0.000
GE FDP 2 A 5.188 6 2.174
GE SVP 2 A 5.188 6 2.119
GE MCR 2 2 A 5.188 6 1.707
GE SP 3 1 D 4.350 5 2.532
GE GPS 2 -1 D 4.350 5 2.120
GE PdA/Sol. 0 -1 D 4.350 5 0.349
GE Mitte 1 2 0.979 1 1.000
GE GLP 0 -1 B 0.809 0 0.000
GE Andere 0 35 0.626 0 0.000
GE EVP 0 C 0.048 0 0.000
GE EDU 0 16 0.000 0 0.000
JU SP 1 A 0.814 1 0.728
JU GPS 0 A 0.814 1 0.272
JU SVP 1 1 C 0.555 1 0.688
JU FDP 0 C 0.555 1 0.312
JU Mitte 0 -1 2 0.529 0 0.000
JU GLP 0 D 0.048 0 0.000
JU Andere 0 35 0.035 0 0.000
JU EVP 0 B 0.018 0 0.000
JU CSP 0 8 0.000 0 0.000
kanton sitze_1_sum
ZH 36
BE 24
LU 9
UR 1
SZ 4
OW 1
NW 1
GL 1
ZG 3
FR 7
SO 6
BS 4
BL 7
SH 2
AR 1
AI 1
SG 12
GR 5
AG 16
TG 6
TI 8
VD 19
VS 8
NE 4
GE 12
JU 2
sitze_1_sum_sum
200

Szenario 3 max (Tendenz + 2* STDDEV)

kanton partei sitze_1 delta lv sitze_lv_0 sitze_lv_1 sitze_0
ZH SVP 10 A 14.331 15 10.307
ZH FDP 5 A 14.331 15 4.693
ZH SP 8 1 B 11.646 12 7.842
ZH GPS 4 -1 B 11.646 12 3.684
ZH FGA 0 B 11.646 12 0.360
ZH PdA/Sol. 0 B 11.646 12 0.113
ZH GLP 4 -2 C 4.452 4 4.000
ZH Mitte 3 2 2 2.933 3 3.000
ZH Andere 1 1 35 1.045 1 1.000
ZH EVP 1 D 1.022 1 1.000
ZH SD 0 E 0.571 0 0.000
ZH EDU 0 E 0.571 0 0.000
BE SVP 8 1 A 9.207 10 8.045
BE FDP 2 A 9.207 10 1.955
BE SP 5 1 B 7.545 8 5.263
BE GPS 3 -1 B 7.545 8 2.737
BE GLP 2 -1 C 3.538 3 2.135
BE EVP 1 C 3.538 3 0.865
BE Mitte 2 2 1.953 2 2.000
BE EDU 1 D 1.025 1 0.921
BE SD 0 D 1.025 1 0.079
BE Andere 0 35 0.732 0 0.000
BE PdA/Sol. 0 9 0.000 0 0.000
LU SP 2 1 B 2.547 3 1.447
LU GPS 1 B 2.547 3 0.860
LU GLP 0 -1 B 2.547 3 0.693
LU Mitte 3 2 2.511 3 3.000
LU SVP 2 A 2.320 2 2.000
LU FDP 1 C 1.388 1 1.000
LU Andere 0 35 0.184 0 0.000
LU EVP 0 D 0.042 0 0.000
LU SD 0 14 0.007 0 0.000
UR Mitte 1 2 0.624 1 1.000
UR SVP 0 4 0.353 0 0.000
UR Andere 0 35 0.023 0 0.000
UR SP 0 3 0.000 0 0.000
SZ SVP 2 A 1.434 2 2.000
SZ FDP 1 D 0.786 1 1.000
SZ Mitte 1 2 0.703 1 1.000
SZ GPS 0 B 0.546 0 0.000
SZ SP 0 B 0.546 0 0.000
SZ Andere 0 35 0.381 0 0.000
SZ EVP 0 C 0.150 0 0.000
SZ GLP 0 C 0.150 0 0.000
OW SVP 1 4 0.523 1 1.000
OW FDP 0 1 0.477 0 0.000
OW Mitte 0 2 0.000 0 0.000
OW SP 0 3 0.000 0 0.000
OW Andere 0 35 0.000 0 0.000
NW Mitte 1 1 2 0.453 1 1.000
NW SVP 0 -1 4 0.399 0 0.000
NW FDP 0 1 0.148 0 0.000
GL SVP 1 1 4 0.426 1 1.000
GL Mitte 0 -1 2 0.312 0 0.000
GL SP 0 3 0.234 0 0.000
GL Andere 0 35 0.028 0 0.000
GL GPS 0 13 0.000 0 0.000
ZG SVP 1 C 1.296 1 0.700
ZG FDP 0 C 1.296 1 0.300
ZG Mitte 1 2 0.748 1 1.000
ZG GPS 1 A 0.657 1 0.741
ZG SP 0 A 0.657 1 0.235
ZG EVP 0 A 0.657 1 0.024
ZG GLP 0 B 0.186 0 0.000
ZG Andere 0 35 0.113 0 0.000
FR SP 2 D 2.443 3 1.769
FR GPS 1 D 2.443 3 1.017
FR CSP 0 D 2.443 3 0.213
FR SVP 2 1 A 1.884 2 1.917
FR EDU 0 A 1.884 2 0.083
FR Mitte 1 -1 2 1.392 1 1.000
FR FDP 1 B 0.931 1 1.000
FR EVP 0 C 0.310 0 0.000
FR GLP 0 C 0.310 0 0.000
FR Andere 0 35 0.041 0 0.000
SO SVP 2 B 1.723 2 2.000
SO SP 1 D 1.589 2 1.302
SO GPS 1 D 1.589 2 0.698
SO Mitte 1 2 1.071 1 1.000
SO FDP 1 A 1.044 1 1.000
SO EVP 0 C 0.450 0 0.000
SO GLP 0 C 0.450 0 0.000
SO Andere 0 35 0.122 0 0.000
SO SD 0 14 0.000 0 0.000
BS SP 2 B 1.957 3 1.950
BS GPS 1 B 1.957 3 1.050
BS LPS 1 A 1.143 1 0.362
BS GLP 0 -1 A 1.143 1 0.320
BS FDP 0 A 1.143 1 0.242
BS EVP 0 A 1.143 1 0.077
BS SVP 0 C 0.563 0 0.000
BS EDU 0 C 0.563 0 0.000
BS Mitte 0 2 0.234 0 0.000
BS Andere 0 35 0.103 0 0.000
BL SVP 3 1 A 3.019 4 2.680
BL FDP 1 A 3.019 4 1.320
BL SP 2 B 2.429 3 2.135
BL GPS 1 B 2.429 3 0.865
BL Mitte 0 -1 2 0.741 0 0.000
BL EVP 0 C 0.666 0 0.000
BL GLP 0 C 0.666 0 0.000
BL Andere 0 35 0.108 0 0.000
BL EDU 0 D 0.036 0 0.000
SH SVP 1 A 1.060 1 0.737
SH FDP 0 A 1.060 1 0.230
SH EDU 0 A 1.060 1 0.032
SH SP 1 B 0.644 1 0.851
SH GPS 0 B 0.644 1 0.149
SH EVP 0 C 0.185 0 0.000
SH GLP 0 C 0.185 0 0.000
SH Andere 0 35 0.059 0 0.000
SH Mitte 0 2 0.052 0 0.000
SH FGA 0 12 0.000 0 0.000
AR SVP 1 4 0.477 1 1.000
AR FDP 0 1 0.357 0 0.000
AR Mitte 0 2 0.159 0 0.000
AR Andere 0 35 0.007 0 0.000
AI Mitte 1 2 0.867 1 1.000
AI Andere 0 35 0.109 0 0.000
AI SVP 0 4 0.024 0 0.000
AI SP 0 3 0.000 0 0.000
SG SVP 5 1 A 4.276 5 4.839
SG EDU 0 A 4.276 5 0.161
SG SP 2 C 3.268 3 1.402
SG GPS 1 C 3.268 3 0.954
SG GLP 0 -1 C 3.268 3 0.644
SG Mitte 2 2 2.260 2 2.000
SG FDP 2 D 1.734 2 2.000
SG Andere 0 35 0.270 0 0.000
SG EVP 0 B 0.173 0 0.000
SG SD 0 E 0.019 0 0.000
GR SVP 2 1 B 1.588 2 1.926
GR EDU 0 B 1.588 2 0.074
GR SP 2 C 1.463 2 1.214
GR GLP 0 C 1.463 2 0.427
GR GPS 0 C 1.463 2 0.358
GR Mitte 1 2 1.193 1 1.000
GR FDP 0 -1 A 0.687 0 0.000
GR EVP 0 7 0.051 0 0.000
GR Andere 0 35 0.017 0 0.000
AG SVP 7 1 A 7.926 9 6.448
AG FDP 2 A 7.926 9 2.372
AG EDU 0 A 7.926 9 0.180
AG SP 3 B 5.126 5 2.563
AG GLP 1 B 5.126 5 1.326
AG GPS 1 B 5.126 5 1.111
AG Mitte 2 2 1.920 2 2.000
AG EVP 0 -1 C 0.554 0 0.000
AG Andere 0 35 0.457 0 0.000
AG PdA/Sol. 0 9 0.018 0 0.000
TG SVP 3 D 2.418 3 3.000
TG SP 1 C 1.525 1 0.403
TG GPS 0 -1 C 1.525 1 0.335
TG GLP 0 C 1.525 1 0.262
TG Mitte 1 2 0.920 1 1.000
TG FDP 1 1 B 0.792 1 0.814
TG EVP 0 B 0.792 1 0.186
TG Andere 0 35 0.177 0 0.000
TG EDU 0 A 0.168 0 0.000
TI SVP 1 B 2.284 2 1.055
TI Lega 1 B 2.284 2 0.945
TI SP 1 A 1.726 2 1.158
TI GPS 1 A 1.726 2 0.842
TI FDP 2 D 1.692 2 2.000
TI Mitte 1 -1 2 1.414 1 1.000
TI Andere 1 1 35 0.763 1 1.000
TI GLP 0 C 0.121 0 0.000
TI PdA/Sol. 0 9 0.000 0 0.000
TI EDU 0 16 0.000 0 0.000
VD SP 5 B 8.195 9 5.274
VD GPS 3 -1 B 8.195 9 2.820
VD PdA/Sol. 1 1 B 8.195 9 0.906
VD FDP 5 C 7.890 9 4.847
VD SVP 4 1 C 7.890 9 4.153
VD GLP 1 -1 D 1.432 1 1.000
VD Mitte 0 2 0.847 0 0.000
VD Andere 0 35 0.379 0 0.000
VD EVP 0 A 0.140 0 0.000
VD EDU 0 16 0.117 0 0.000
VD SD 0 14 0.000 0 0.000
VS Mitte 3 2 2.831 3 3.000
VS SVP 2 C 1.958 2 2.000
VS SP 1 B 1.876 2 1.220
VS GPS 1 B 1.876 2 0.717
VS PdA/Sol. 0 B 1.876 2 0.063
VS FDP 1 D 1.173 1 1.000
VS GLP 0 E 0.163 0 0.000
VS CSP 0 8 0.000 0 0.000
VS Andere 0 35 0.000 0 0.000
NE SP 1 B 2.027 2 0.888
NE GPS 1 B 2.027 2 0.651
NE PdA/Sol. 0 -1 B 2.027 2 0.461
NE FDP 1 A 0.838 1 1.000
NE SVP 1 1 C 0.718 1 0.963
NE EDU 0 C 0.718 1 0.037
NE GLP 0 D 0.313 0 0.000
NE EVP 0 D 0.313 0 0.000
NE Mitte 0 2 0.103 0 0.000
NE Andere 0 35 0.000 0 0.000
GE FDP 2 A 5.188 6 2.174
GE SVP 2 A 5.188 6 2.119
GE MCR 2 2 A 5.188 6 1.707
GE SP 3 1 D 4.350 5 2.532
GE GPS 2 -1 D 4.350 5 2.120
GE PdA/Sol. 0 -1 D 4.350 5 0.349
GE Mitte 1 2 0.979 1 1.000
GE GLP 0 -1 B 0.809 0 0.000
GE Andere 0 35 0.626 0 0.000
GE EVP 0 C 0.048 0 0.000
GE EDU 0 16 0.000 0 0.000
JU SP 1 A 0.814 1 0.728
JU GPS 0 A 0.814 1 0.272
JU SVP 1 1 C 0.555 1 0.688
JU FDP 0 C 0.555 1 0.312
JU Mitte 0 -1 2 0.529 0 0.000
JU GLP 0 D 0.048 0 0.000
JU Andere 0 35 0.035 0 0.000
JU EVP 0 B 0.018 0 0.000
JU CSP 0 8 0.000 0 0.000
kanton sitze_1_sum
ZH 36
BE 24
LU 9
UR 1
SZ 4
OW 1
NW 1
GL 1
ZG 3
FR 7
SO 6
BS 4
BL 7
SH 2
AR 1
AI 1
SG 12
GR 5
AG 16
TG 6
TI 8
VD 19
VS 8
NE 4
GE 12
JU 2
sitze_1_sum_sum
200

Code

read "kantonsresultate.csv"
project k, p, proj_sum
read "listenverbindungen.csv"
join left
update lv = p where trim(lv) == ""
dup
project k, lv, proj_sum sum
project inline k, proj_sum_sum sum
read "kantone.csv"
join natural
extend sitze_lv_0 = proj_sum_sum / proj_sum_sum_sum * sitze
project inline k, sitze_lv_0 prf
extend sitze_lv_1 = floor(sitze_lv_0 * sitze_lv_0_prf)
project k, kanton, lv, sitze_lv_0, sitze_lv_1
join natural
project inline k, lv, proj_sum sum
extend sitze_0 = proj_sum/ (proj_sum_sum+0.001)* sitze_lv_1
project inline k, lv, sitze_0 prf
extend sitze_1 = floor(sitze_0 * sitze_0_prf)
read "parteien.csv"
join natural
read "letztewahl.csv"
join left
read "lvresultate.csv"
project inline k, s_sum sum
rename sitze_sum sitze_lv
join left
extend lv_0 = sitze * s_sum/(s_sum+0.001)
order k 1, sitze_lv_0 9, sitze_1 9, sitze_0 9
extend delta = sitze_1 - sitze_alt
update delta = "" where delta = 0
project kanton, partei, sitze_1, delta, lv, sitze_lv_0, lv_0, sitze_lv_1, sitze_lv, sitze_0
format sitze_0 "%1.3f", sitze_lv_0 "%1.3f", lv_0 "%1.3f"
print
dup
project kanton, sitze_1 sum
print
pop
project partei, sitze_1 sum
project sitze_1_sum sum
print

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